2 QBs Who Will Outperform Their ADP

Rankings compiled from FantasyPros.com Consensus Rankings

  • Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (QB 14 ADP #116)
    • 2019 PASSING STATS: 2,499 Yds, 19 TD/ 5 INT
    • AVG 20.8 FPPG (4th among QBS in ESPN Standard Leagues)
    • DNP Week 10-17 (Injury)
Stafford Dueling with Patrick Mahomes last season

From Week 1-9, Matthew Stafford played like a man on a mission. He seemed to really have a feel for Darrell Bevell’s offense in their first year together. And with his offseason beginning in Week 10 of last season due to his injury, I imagine he could recite the playbook by memory at this point.

The Lions brought back all of their skill position starters from 2019 and brought in competition at each position as well. Specifically, the addition of DeAndre Swift will make life a lot easier for Stafford because of his big-play ability as both a runner and receiver. The development of TJ Hockenson will also benefit Stafford as Hock showed flashes of his All-Pro potential thoughout his rookie season. In standard league drafts, I would wait for Stafford instead of reaching for guys like Josh Allen or Deshaun Watson.

  • Gardner Minshew, Jacksonville Jaguars (QB 26 ADP #162)
    • 2019 PASSING STATS: 3,271 Yds; 21 TD/ 6 INT
    • AVG 16.4 FPPG (17th among QBs in ESPN Standard Leagues)
    • Had 8 Games with 5+ Carries; with 5.13 YPC over the season
Minshew Magic

When I watched Minshew play last season, he reminded me so much of Russell Wilson. The video above is one that really made the comparison stand out for me. The former 6th round pick’s ability to escape the pocket and extend plays through the air and on the ground has me really excited for his potential going into year 2. Based on the Jaguars off-season moves, it’s safe to say they share my level of excitement. After trading Nick Foles to the Bears, the Jags signed Mike Glennon and selected Jake Luton from Oregon State in the 6th round. Those two will compete with Josh Dobbs for 2nd on the depth chart. There was speculation that the Jags were interested in Andy Dalton, but with him signing with Dallas, I don’t see them going after any of the higher-profile free agents to compete with Minshew.

On offense, the Jaguars brought back their top 3 WRs in DJ Chark, Dede Westbrook, and Chris Conley while adding depth via the draft with their 2nd round pick (Laviska Shenault) and 5th round pick (Collin Johnson). Getting 1st team reps this training camp is going to be huge for the chemistry between Minshew and his receivers, especially DJ Chark, who has superstar written all over him. But, the main reason I’m predicting Minshew to be a late round gem is his ability to pick up yards on the ground. According to fftoday.com, Minshew ran for 344 yards which ranked 5th in the NFL among QBs in 2019. The fact that he scored 0 TDs on the ground really hurt his final fantasy ranking. If he can bump up that number to around 4 , I believe Gardner Minshew will be a top 15 fantasy QB.

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